Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts proof MLB’s new math driving megadeals

What will you be doing in 2033?

If you’re a teenager reading this, you’ll be nearing your 30th birthday. A fiftysomething, and the treadmill to retirement may speed up or slow down. And all of us could be just 17 years from a potential doomsday climate scenario.

Yet while uncertainty prevails for mere mortals, Trea Turner and Xander Bogaerts know almost exactly what they’ll be doing: Playing Major League Baseball, preferably for their current teams.

In this winter of wild spending from aggressive franchises, the game is suddenly dotted with decadelong commitments to elite players, bucking a trend that chilled the free agent market late last decade. As front offices hewed doggedly to “win curves” and irrational fears they might not extract optimal value from a veteran player in a contract’s later years, free agency stagnated. Elite players in their prime like Manny Machado and Bryce Harper and their agents had to create markets for themselves, like door-to-door window salesmen.

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